Makoto Ochi vs Daisuke Sumizawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Edge: Over the past six months, Sumizawa boasts a better second serve points win percentage at 47.33%, compared to Ochi's 38.71%. This tends to correlate strongly with match outcomes. Could this be a deciding factor in favor of Sumizawa?
• Return Game Advantage: In return games, Sumizawa leads by winning 45.77% of opponents' second serve points, while Ochi takes 41.81%. However, Ochi surpasses Sumizawa in first serve return points with 28.41% versus 25.36%.
• Under Pressure: When facing breakpoints, Ochi shows a slight edge by saving 47.14% compared to Sumizawa's 46.75%. This could be advantageous in tight moments.
• Overall Performance: Sumizawa emerges stronger with a 63.79% win rate over the past year, standing out against Ochi's 46.43% success rate.
• Surface Preferences: Sumizawa thrives on Indoor Hard courts with a 63% win rate, yet struggles on Grass. Ochi excels on Clay courts, sharing the same 63% win rate as Sumizawa's on I.hard, but finds Indoor Hard courts challenging with only 37% success.
• Player Level: Both players have primarily competed in $10K Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, with Sumizawa holding a higher match win rate of 63.79% versus Ochi's 50% over the past year.
• Direct Encounters: In head-to-head matchups, Sumizawa has outperformed Ochi, winning their sole previous encounter and claiming 2 out of 3 sets played.
• Set Deciders: Sumizawa seems to have the upper hand in deciding sets, having won their only encounter going the distance.
• Opponent Quality: Sumizawa has faced tougher competitors with an average opponent rank of 301.34 compared to Ochi's opponents who average 384.07.
• Break Point Conversion: Sumizawa shows a slightly better break point conversion rate of 41.56% in recent form, narrowly surpassing Ochi's 39.39%.

Editorial Prediction (July 31, 2025, UTC):

Given the statistical analysis, Sumizawa currently holds various advantages over Ochi. Their superior second serve win rate, heightened overall match success, and ability to capitalize on break points suggest a higher likelihood of victory.

Ochi provides a tough challenge, particularly in first serve returns and pressure scenarios, however, Sumizawa's consistent form and past head-to-head victory add weight to Sumizawa's favor.

Taking into account surface capabilities, previous direct encounters, and the tendency to perform well under high-stakes conditions, Sumizawa appears more equipped to secure a win in this matchup against Ochi.

Ultimately, given these insights, Daisuke Sumizawa is expected to emerge victorious in the upcoming tennis match.